The Next Web A People Analytics study of 205 tech professionals used a machine‑learning model to predict early attrition and found that promotions are the single strongest predictor of whether employees leave within their first year. Age, internal role changes and manager changes also mattered, while socializing outside work had little impact. The model achieved a 0.97 F1 score, underscoring that career momentum, not workplace culture, drives turnover. The research suggests firms can spot at‑risk staff using existing HR data and intervene far earlier than traditional retention programs allow.
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